Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orense SC welcome Mushuc Runa SC to Estadio 9 de Mayo for a Liga Pro fixture on Thursday 19 March (22:30 WAT). In the table, Orense SC are 13th on 39 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43.
Current form
Orense SC, last 4: DLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manta FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.5 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 52%, draw 25%, Mushuc Runa SC 22%.
Lower-risk option: Orense SC or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orense SC or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orense SC52%fair 1.92 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Mushuc Runa SC22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.50Orense SC xG
1.00Mushuc Runa SC xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.5 – 1.0 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Double chance
Orense SC or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Orense SC (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Mushuc Runa SC +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Orense SC to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orense SC / FT Orense SC✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Orense SC – last 4
DLDL
10 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Macara
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 1
D
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Orense SC or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mushuc Runa SC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
