Barcelona SC 41%Draw 26%Universidad Catolica 33%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona SC to win41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.50
Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad Catolica travel to face Barcelona SC on Sunday 22 March in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Barcelona SC are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54.
Current form
Barcelona SC, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Libertad, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Universidad Catolica, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 1.1 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 41%, draw 26%, Universidad Catolica 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barcelona SC41%fair 2.46 · @2.08
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.35
Universidad Catolica33%fair 3.03 · @3.45
2.12Expected goals
1.10Barcelona SC xG
1.02Universidad Catolica xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.1 – 1.0 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win
41%
2.46
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
Barcelona SC (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Universidad Catolica +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.10
First team to score
Barcelona SC to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
13.50
–
Recent results
Barcelona SC – last 6
DDWDLL
19 Mar
@ Libertad
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Botafogo
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 3
WDL
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona SC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universidad Catolica 33%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
