Tecnico Universitario 13%Draw 24%Independiente del Valle 63%Expected goals 0.72 – 1.93
71%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win63% · @1.64
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.54
Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Tecnico Universitario v Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Bellavista. In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tecnico Universitario, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aucas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Independiente del Valle, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Emelec, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 0.7 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 13%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 63%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 0–2 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tecnico Universitario13%fair 7.60 · @5.90
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.45
Independiente del Valle63%fair 1.58 · @1.64
2.66Expected goals
0.72Tecnico Universitario xG
1.93Independiente del Valle xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 0.7 – 1.9 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
63%
1.58
1.64
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Tecnico Universitario – last 4
WWDD
19 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 3
LWW
20 Mar
@ Emelec
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 63%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 0–2 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
