Guayaquil City FC 44%Draw 28%Leones del Norte 28%Expected goals 1.18 – 0.91
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 March the Liga Pro brings Guayaquil City FC against Leones del Norte at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guayaquil City FC, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manta FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Leones del Norte, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to LDU de Quito, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 1.2 xG, Leones del Norte 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 44%, draw 28%, Leones del Norte 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guayaquil City FC44%fair 2.25 · @2.12
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.96
Leones del Norte28%fair 3.59 · @3.80
2.09Expected goals
1.18Guayaquil City FC xG
0.91Leones del Norte xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.2 – 0.9 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guayaquil City FC to win✗
44%
2.25
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Guayaquil City FC (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Leones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Guayaquil City FC to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guayaquil City FC / FT Guayaquil City FC✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Guayaquil City FC – last 4
WDLL
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 3
LDD
18 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guayaquil City FC and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Leones del Norte 28%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
