Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 March the Liga Pro brings Mushuc Runa SC against Emelec at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.2 xG, Emelec 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 37%, draw 28%, Emelec 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC37%fair 2.68 · @2.52
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Emelec35%fair 2.89 · @2.95
2.32Expected goals
1.20Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.12Emelec xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.2 – 1.1 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mushuc Runa SC to win✓
37%
2.68
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Mushuc Runa SC (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Mushuc Runa SC to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC✓
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.59
–
Recent results
Mushuc Runa SC – last 2
LD
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 2
WD
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Emelec.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Emelec 35%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
