Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultEmelec to win ✗50% · @1.84
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.75
Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Cuenca travel to face Emelec on Sunday 5 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio George Capwell the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emelec, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mushuc Runa SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Universidad Catolica, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.2 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 50%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cuenca 22%.
Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec50%fair 1.98 · @1.84
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.35
Deportivo Cuenca22%fair 4.56 · @4.40
2.01Expected goals
1.21Emelec xG
0.80Deportivo Cuenca xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.2 – 0.8 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✗
50%
1.98
1.84
Double chance
Emelec or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Emelec (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.07
First team to score
Emelec to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emelec / FT Emelec✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.75
–
Recent results
Emelec – last 3
LWD
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LDWWWL
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Libertad
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Emelec have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Cuenca 22%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
