Value bet: Delfin SC to win @ 3.85 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.40
Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones del Norte welcome Delfin SC to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 5 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Delfin SC are 14th with 38.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 4: DLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guayaquil City FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Delfin SC, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Macara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Delfin SC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.1 xG, Delfin SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 43%, draw 28%, Delfin SC 29%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Delfin SC to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–0 Delfin SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte43%fair 2.34 · @2.12
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.95
Delfin SC29%fair 3.42 · @3.85
1.96Expected goals
1.11Leones del Norte xG
0.85Delfin SC xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.1 – 0.9 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones del Norte to win✓
43%
2.34
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.53
Draw no bet
Leones del Norte (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Delfin SC +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Leones del Norte to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.40
–
Recent results
Leones del Norte – last 4
DLDD
23 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Delfin SC – last 5
LWDWW
18 Mar
@ Macara
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Emelec
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs LDU Portoviejo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones del Norte and Delfin SC.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Delfin SC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
