Independiente del Valle 73%Draw 18%Orense SC 10%Expected goals 2.45 – 0.75
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win73% · @1.31
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.88
Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle welcome Orense SC to Estadio Banco Guayaquil for a Liga Pro fixture on Saturday 4 April (20:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39. There are 45 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Emelec, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Orense SC, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Aucas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Orense SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.4 xG, Orense SC 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 73%, draw 18%, Orense SC 10%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle73%fair 1.38 · @1.31
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.80
Orense SC10%fair 10.18 · @10.00
3.20Expected goals
2.45Independiente del Valle xG
0.75Orense SC xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.4 – 0.8 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
73%
1.38
1.31
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.26
1.17
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle – last 3
LWW
20 Mar
@ Emelec
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orense SC – last 6
LWDLDL
24 Mar
@ Aucas
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Macara
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Orense SC.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Orense SC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC?
Independiente del Valle vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
