Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗54% · @1.65
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barcelona SC travel to face LDU de Quito on Saturday 4 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manta FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Barcelona SC, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Barcelona SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.4 xG, Barcelona SC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 54%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 19%.
Lower-risk option: LDU de Quito or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito54%fair 1.86 · @1.65
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.80
Barcelona SC19%fair 5.18 · @5.00
2.17Expected goals
1.37LDU de Quito xG
0.80Barcelona SC xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.4 – 0.8 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
54%
1.86
1.65
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.77
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Barcelona SC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.12
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
LDU de Quito – last 6
WWDLLW
22 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Leones del Norte
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
DDWDLL
19 Mar
@ Libertad
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Botafogo
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barcelona SC 19%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
