Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Liga Pro brings Barcelona SC against Mushuc Runa SC at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Barcelona SC are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43.
Current form
Barcelona SC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Macara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mushuc Runa SC, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Libertad, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 1.6 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 57%, draw 25%, Mushuc Runa SC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Barcelona SC or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barcelona SC57%fair 1.75 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.60
Mushuc Runa SC18%fair 5.48 · @5.40
2.38Expected goals
1.57Barcelona SC xG
0.81Mushuc Runa SC xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.6 – 0.8 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Double chance
Barcelona SC or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.90
Draw no bet
Barcelona SC (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Mushuc Runa SC +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
Barcelona SC to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Barcelona SC – last 6
LLWLWD
20 Apr
@ Macara
1–3
L
15 Apr
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Leones del Norte
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Cruzeiro
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Libertad
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 4
DWLD
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
23 Mar
vs Emelec
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona SC and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mushuc Runa SC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
