LDU de Quito vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aucas travel to face LDU de Quito on Thursday 23 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mirassol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aucas, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leones del Norte, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.5 xG, Aucas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 52%, draw 26%, Aucas 22%.
Lower-risk option: LDU de Quito or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito52%fair 1.92 · @1.84
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.55
Aucas22%fair 4.55 · @4.10
2.31Expected goals
1.45LDU de Quito xG
0.86Aucas xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.5 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
52%
1.92
1.84
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Aucas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.11
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
LDU de Quito – last 6
WLWLWW
15 Apr
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Always Ready
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Leones del Norte
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 6
WWWWLL
17 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Emelec
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Macara
1–0
W
24 Mar
vs Orense SC
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Aucas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aucas 22%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
LDU de Quito vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
