Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Independiente del Valle v Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to UCV, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Barcelona SC, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boca Juniors, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Barcelona SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 1.9 xG, Barcelona SC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 65%, draw 21%, Barcelona SC 14%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle65%fair 1.55 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.95
Barcelona SC14%fair 7.08 · @6.40
2.67Expected goals
1.92Independiente del Valle xG
0.76Barcelona SC xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.9 – 0.8 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
65%
1.55
1.52
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle – last 6
LWWWWD
6 May
@ UCV
0–2
L
1 May
@ Universidad Catolica
3–2
W
28 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
3–2
W
22 Apr
@ Delfin SC
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs UCV
3–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rosario Central
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
WDLDWL
6 May
vs Boca Juniors
1–0
W
3 May
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Mushuc Runa SC
2–1
W
20 Apr
@ Macara
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barcelona SC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
