Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrense SC to win ✓53% · @1.54
Double chanceOrense SC or draw ✓78% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Orense SC vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orense SC welcome Leones del Norte to Estadio 9 de Mayo for a Liga Pro fixture on Saturday 9 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Orense SC are 13th on 39 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.
Current form
Orense SC, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barcelona SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Leones del Norte, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Emelec, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.4 xG, Leones del Norte 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 53%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 22%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orense SC53%fair 1.89 · @1.54
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
Leones del Norte22%fair 4.50 · @7.00
2.48Expected goals
1.44Orense SC xG
1.03Leones del Norte xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.4 – 1.0 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✓
53%
1.89
1.54
Double chance
Orense SC or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Orense SC (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Leones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Orense SC to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orense SC / FT Orense SC✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Orense SC – last 6
DWDWLW
27 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
1–1
D
22 Apr
@ Deportivo Cuenca
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Delfin SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Libertad
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Aucas
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 6
WWLLWD
3 May
vs Emelec
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Manta FC
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 22%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
Orense SC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
