Barcelona SC 43%Draw 27%Aucas 30%Expected goals 1.27 – 0.97
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona SC to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Barcelona SC vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Barcelona SC v Aucas in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha. In the table, Barcelona SC are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54.
Current form
Barcelona SC, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Insutec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Aucas, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Barcelona SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 1.3 xG, Aucas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 43%, draw 27%, Aucas 30%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barcelona SC43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
Aucas30%fair 3.31 · @3.25
2.23Expected goals
1.27Barcelona SC xG
0.97Aucas xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.3 – 1.0 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✓
43%
2.34
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Barcelona SC (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Aucas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Barcelona SC to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Recent results
Barcelona SC – last 6
WLWDLD
12 May
@ Insutec
4–2
W
10 May
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
6 May
vs Boca Juniors
1–0
W
3 May
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 6
LWDWWW
2 May
@ Libertad
2–3
L
28 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Emelec
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Macara
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona SC and Aucas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aucas 30%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
Barcelona SC vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.