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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barcelona SC v Aucas: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
3–0
FT

Aucas

LWDWW
Barcelona SC 43%Draw 27%Aucas 30% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.97
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona SC to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37

Barcelona SC vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Barcelona SC v Aucas in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha. In the table, Barcelona SC are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54.

Current form

Barcelona SC, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Insutec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Aucas, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Barcelona SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 1.3 xG, Aucas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 43%, draw 27%, Aucas 30%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barcelona SC43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
Aucas30%fair 3.31 · @3.25
2.23Expected goals
1.27Barcelona SC xG
0.97Aucas xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.3 – 1.0 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona SC to win ✓43%2.342.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.85
Draw no betBarcelona SC (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapAucas +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreBarcelona SC to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC ✓25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.37–

Recent results

Barcelona SC – last 6

WLWDLD
12 May@ Insutec4–2W
10 May@ Independiente del Valle0–1L
6 Mayvs Boca Juniors1–0W
3 Mayvs Manta FC1–1D
30 Aprvs U. Catolica1–2L
27 Apr@ Orense SC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aucas – last 6

LWDWWW
2 May@ Libertad2–3L
28 Aprvs Delfin SC1–0W
23 Apr@ LDU de Quito0–0D
17 Apr@ Leones del Norte1–0W
13 Aprvs Emelec2–0W
6 Apr@ Macara1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barcelona SC and Aucas.

Barcelona SC vs Aucas head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Aucas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Barcelona SC vs Aucas?

On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aucas 30%.

How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Aucas?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Aucas?

Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Barcelona SC vs Aucas?

Barcelona SC vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.