Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 2.66 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win41% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.07
Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Orense SC v Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio 9 de Mayo. In the table, Orense SC are 13th on 39 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orense SC, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guayaquil City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Orense SC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Universidad Catolica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.2 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 35%, draw 25%, Universidad Catolica 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orense SC35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica41%fair 2.47 · @2.66
2.71Expected goals
1.21Orense SC xG
1.49Universidad Catolica xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.2 – 1.5 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
41%
2.47
2.66 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Orense SC +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Orense SC – last 6
WWDWDW
19 May
@ Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
9 May
vs Leones del Norte
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
1–1
D
22 Apr
@ Deportivo Cuenca
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Delfin SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Libertad
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 6
LLLWDW
13 May
vs Independiente del Valle
0–3
L
1 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Manta FC
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Macara
4–0
W
9 Apr
vs Emelec
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universidad Catolica 41%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
