Emelec vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 1 June the Liga Pro brings Emelec against Universidad Catolica at Estadio George Capwell. Kick-off: 00:10 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Macara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over El Nacional, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Emelec, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Universidad Catolica.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 1–1 Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.0 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 32%, draw 26%, Universidad Catolica 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec32%fair 3.11 · @2.76
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.30
Universidad Catolica42%fair 2.41 · @2.48
2.38Expected goals
1.05Emelec xG
1.33Universidad Catolica xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.0 – 1.3 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
42%
2.41
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Emelec have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universidad Catolica 42%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Emelec vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
