Leones del Norte 31%Draw 27%Macara 42%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.29
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✗42% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Leones del Norte vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 1 June the Liga Pro brings Leones del Norte against Macara at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Huaquillas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Macara, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with America de Cali, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Macara.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Macara 0–0 Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.0 xG, Macara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 31%, draw 27%, Macara 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte31%fair 3.20 · @2.98
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Macara42%fair 2.40 · @2.44
2.27Expected goals
0.98Leones del Norte xG
1.29Macara xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.0 – 1.3 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Macara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Macara?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 42%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Macara?
Leones del Norte vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
