Independiente del Valle 79%Draw 15%Manta FC 7%Expected goals 2.47 – 0.59
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓79% · @1.19
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓93% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle welcome Manta FC to Estadio Banco Guayaquil for a Liga Pro fixture on Saturday 4 July (01:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Manta FC are 16th with 33. There are 51 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Guayaquil City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Manta FC, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Libertad, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Manta FC.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Manta FC 0–2 Independiente del Valle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.5 xG, Manta FC 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 79%, draw 15%, Manta FC 7%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Manta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle79%fair 1.27 · @1.19
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @5.90
Manta FC7%fair 15.02 · @17.00
3.06Expected goals
2.47Independiente del Valle xG
0.59Manta FC xG
48%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
3–012%
1–012%
2–18%
4–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.5 – 0.6 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.57
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Manta FC 7%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
