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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Cuenca v Aucas: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
0–1
FT

Aucas

WDWWL
Deportivo Cuenca 36%Draw 28%Aucas 35% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.08
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗36% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01

Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aucas travel to face Deportivo Cuenca on Sunday 12 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barcelona SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Aucas, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guayaquil City FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Aucas 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 xG, Aucas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 36%, draw 28%, Aucas 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cuenca36%fair 2.77 · @2.65
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.15
Aucas35%fair 2.82 · @2.65
2.16Expected goals
1.08Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.08Aucas xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.1 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗36%2.772.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Draw no betDeportivo Cuenca (draw no bet) ✗50%1.98–
Asian handicapAucas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.07
First team to scoreDeportivo Cuenca to score first ✗44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗20%5.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.01–

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LWLDDW
5 Jul@ Barcelona SC0–2L
31 Mayvs Delfin SC1–0W
27 May@ Santos0–3L
24 Mayvs LDU de Quito1–1D
20 Mayvs Deportivo Recoleta2–2D
16 May@ Libertad1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aucas – last 6

WDWWLL
8 Julvs Guayaquil City FC1–0W
31 May@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
26 Mayvs Manta FC3–1W
21 May@ San Antonio3–0W
17 May@ Barcelona SC0–3L
2 May@ Libertad2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca0–1
Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Aucas 35%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.