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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tecnico Universitario v Macara: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
0–2
FT

Macara

WWDDL
Tecnico Universitario 33%Draw 27%Macara 40% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.33
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✓40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Tecnico Universitario vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Macara travel to face Tecnico Universitario on Saturday 11 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 01:15 WAT. In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tecnico Universitario, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orense SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Macara, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over LDU de Quito, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tecnico Universitario, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Macara.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Macara 1–1 Tecnico Universitario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 0.9 xG, Macara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 33%, draw 27%, Macara 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tecnico Universitario33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.00
Macara40%fair 2.48 · @2.88
2.27Expected goals
0.93Tecnico Universitario xG
1.33Macara xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%

From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 0.9 – 1.3 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✓40%2.482.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.10 ▲
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✓27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Tecnico Universitario – last 6

WWLWLW
7 Jul@ Orense SC2–1W
2 Junvs Barcelona SC1–0W
29 May@ Cde Juventud Italiana0–2L
24 Mayvs Leones del Norte2–1W
22 Aprvs Emelec0–1L
19 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Macara – last 6

WWDDLD
5 Julvs LDU de Quito1–0W
5 Jun@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1–0W
1 Jun@ Leones del Norte1–1D
29 May@ America de Cali0–0D
24 May@ Emelec0–2L
22 Mayvs Alianza Atletico0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Macara v Tecnico Universitario1–1
Tecnico Universitario vs Macara head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 40%.

How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Tecnico Universitario vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.