Leones del Norte 42%Draw 28%Deportivo Cuenca 29%Expected goals 1.22 – 0.93
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Cuenca travel to face Leones del Norte on Wednesday 15 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universidad Catolica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aucas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Cuenca.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.2 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 42%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cuenca 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte42%fair 2.37 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.05
Deportivo Cuenca29%fair 3.40 · @3.15
2.15Expected goals
1.22Leones del Norte xG
0.93Deportivo Cuenca xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.2 – 0.9 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Cuenca 29%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
