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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Universidad Catolica 40%Draw 26%LDU de Quito 34% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.11
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89

Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 15 July: Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Universidad Catolica, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leones del Norte, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

LDU de Quito, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Libertad, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Universidad Catolica.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended LDU de Quito 1–1 Universidad Catolica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.3 xG, LDU de Quito 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 40%, draw 26%, LDU de Quito 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
LDU de Quito34%fair 2.91 · @2.66
2.41Expected goals
1.30Universidad Catolica xG
1.11LDU de Quito xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.3 – 1.1 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓40%2.512.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.73
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapLDU de Quito +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.09
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.89–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 6

LLLWLL
10 Jul@ Leones del Norte0–1L
6 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC2–3L
1 Jun@ Emelec0–1L
29 May@ El Nacional4–1W
13 Mayvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
1 Mayvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

LDU de Quito – last 6

DDLWWD
12 Julvs Libertad0–0D
9 Jul@ Ind. Juniors1–1D
5 Jul@ Macara0–1L
1 Julvs Orense SC3–0W
26 Mayvs Always Ready3–2W
24 May@ Deportivo Cuenca1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica1–1
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LDU de Quito 34%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.