Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Liga Pro brings Deportivo Cuenca against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones del Norte, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over LDU de Quito, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.0 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 32%, draw 27%, Universidad Catolica 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca32%fair 3.10 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Universidad Catolica41%fair 2.44 · @2.60
2.33Expected goals
1.03Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.31Universidad Catolica xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.0 – 1.3 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✓
41%
2.44
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✓
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Universidad Catolica 41%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
