LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Saturday 18 July: LDU de Quito v Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Universidad Catolica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Leones del Norte, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for LDU de Quito.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Leones del Norte 0–2 LDU de Quito.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.6 xG, Leones del Norte 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 59%, draw 23%, Leones del Norte 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito59%fair 1.69 · @1.47
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.10
Leones del Norte18%fair 5.61 · @6.80
2.33Expected goals
1.55LDU de Quito xG
0.78Leones del Norte xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.8 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leones del Norte 18%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
