Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Macara to win @ 3.75 – our chance 36% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAucas to win ✗38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.12
Aucas vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Aucas v Macara in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aucas, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orense SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Macara, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Macara, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Aucas.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Macara 0–1 Aucas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.1 xG, Macara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 38%, draw 27%, Macara 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas38%fair 2.65 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.25
Macara36%fair 2.81 · @3.75
2.27Expected goals
1.07Aucas xG
1.20Macara xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.1 – 1.2 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aucas vs Macara?
On our numbers Aucas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 36%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
