Aucas 52%Draw 26%Leones del Norte 22%Expected goals 1.41 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAucas to win ✓52% · @1.73
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Aucas vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones del Norte travel to face Aucas on Saturday 8 August in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.
Current form
Aucas, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Emelec, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leones del Norte, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barcelona SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Leones del Norte 0–1 Aucas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.4 xG, Leones del Norte 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 52%, draw 26%, Leones del Norte 22%.
Lower-risk option: Aucas or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas52%fair 1.91 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.45
Leones del Norte22%fair 4.62 · @5.00
2.33Expected goals
1.41Aucas xG
0.92Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.4 – 0.9 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aucas vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aucas vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Aucas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones del Norte 22%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Leones del Norte?
Aucas vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
