LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: LDU de Quito v Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Delfin SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for LDU de Quito.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.1 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 30%, draw 26%, Independiente del Valle 44%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito30%fair 3.34 · @2.96
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Independiente del Valle44%fair 2.27 · @2.32
2.57Expected goals
1.09LDU de Quito xG
1.48Independiente del Valle xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.1 – 1.5 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
44%
2.27
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
LDU de Quito +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
LDU de Quito – last 6
WWWDLL
4 Aug
vs Delfin SC
2–1
W
30 Jul
vs Leones del Norte
6–0
W
27 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Manta FC
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Leones del Norte
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
2 Aug
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Orense SC
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Independiente del Valle 44%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
