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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guayaquil City FC v Emelec: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
0–0
FT

Emelec

LLDLW
Guayaquil City FC 39%Draw 28%Emelec 33% Expected goals 1.18 – 0.99
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Guayaquil City FC to win @ 2.84 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗39% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.69

Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 10 August the Liga Pro brings Guayaquil City FC against Emelec at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Emelec, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Aucas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Guayaquil City FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Emelec.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Emelec 1–3 Guayaquil City FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 1.2 xG, Emelec 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 39%, draw 28%, Emelec 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Guayaquil City FC to win @2.84 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guayaquil City FC39%fair 2.59 · @2.84
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.05
Emelec33%fair 2.99 · @2.55
2.17Expected goals
1.18Guayaquil City FC xG
0.99Emelec xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.2 – 1.0 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗39%2.592.84 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betGuayaquil City FC (draw no bet)54%1.87–
Asian handicapEmelec +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreGuayaquil City FC to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guayaquil City FC / FT Guayaquil City FC ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.69–

Recent results

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

LDDWDW
2 Aug@ Macara1–2L
27 Julvs Universidad Catolica0–0D
23 Jul@ Leones del Norte1–1D
19 Julvs Manta FC1–0W
16 Jul@ Barcelona SC1–1D
12 Julvs Delfin SC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Emelec – last 6

LLDLWD
2 Augvs Aucas0–2L
28 Jul@ Deportivo Cuenca1–2L
24 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
20 Jul@ Independiente del Valle1–6L
17 Jul@ Orense SC2–0W
13 Julvs Barcelona SC0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Emelec v Guayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Emelec 33%.

How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.