Libertad vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 10 August the Liga Pro brings Libertad against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Libertad, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Orense SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cuniburo, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.1 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 25%, draw 25%, Universidad Catolica 49%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad25%fair 3.94 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica49%fair 2.03 · @1.90
2.52Expected goals
1.11Libertad xG
1.41Universidad Catolica xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.1 – 1.4 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
49%
2.03
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Libertad +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Libertad – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Aug
vs Orense SC
3–0
W
27 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 6
LWDWWW
5 Aug
vs Cuniburo
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Tecnico Universitario
5–0
W
27 Jul
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
15 Jul
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Libertad have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universidad Catolica 49%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?
Libertad vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
