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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Emelec v Tecnico Universitario: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio George Capwell

Emelec

DLLDL
2–1
FT
Emelec 59%Draw 21%Tecnico Universitario 21% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.70
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEmelec to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.57

Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tecnico Universitario travel to face Emelec on Sunday 16 August in the Liga Pro, with Estadio George Capwell the venue – the ball rolls at 22:15 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37.

Current form

Emelec, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guayaquil City FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mushuc Runa SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Tecnico Universitario 0–1 Emelec.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.5 xG, Tecnico Universitario 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 59%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (79%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Emelec59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.35
Tecnico Universitario21%fair 4.88 · @5.00
2.17Expected goals
1.47Emelec xG
0.70Tecnico Universitario xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Emelec 1.5 – 0.7 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmelec to win ✓59%1.701.75
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓79%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betEmelec (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreEmelec to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Emelec / FT Emelec ✓34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.57–

Recent results

Emelec – last 6

DLLDLW
10 Aug@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
2 Augvs Aucas0–2L
28 Jul@ Deportivo Cuenca1–2L
24 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
20 Jul@ Independiente del Valle1–6L
17 Jul@ Orense SC2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 6

LLWLLL
10 Augvs Mushuc Runa SC0–3L
1 Aug@ Universidad Catolica0–5L
26 Julvs Manta FC1–0W
22 Jul@ Independiente del Valle0–3L
19 Julvs Aucas0–1L
15 Jul@ Libertad0–1L
0.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Tecnico Universitario v Emelec0–1
Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Emelec have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tecnico Universitario 21%.

How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.