Value bet: Barcelona SC to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barcelona SC travel to face Mushuc Runa SC on Sunday 16 August in the Liga Pro, with Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49.
Current form
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tecnico Universitario, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Barcelona SC, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mushuc Runa SC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Barcelona SC.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Barcelona SC 2–1 Mushuc Runa SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.3 xG, Barcelona SC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 43%, draw 23%, Barcelona SC 34%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Barcelona SC to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Barcelona SC34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
2.39Expected goals
1.29Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.10Barcelona SC xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.3 – 1.1 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barcelona SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
