Guayaquil City FC 45%Draw 23%Libertad 32%Expected goals 1.19 – 0.95
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad to win @ 4.10 – our chance 32% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.66
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Liga Pro brings Guayaquil City FC against Libertad. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Emelec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Libertad, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Universidad Catolica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Libertad, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Guayaquil City FC.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Libertad 0–1 Guayaquil City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 1.2 xG, Libertad 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 45%, draw 23%, Libertad 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Libertad to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guayaquil City FC45%fair 2.25 · @1.96
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Libertad32%fair 3.10 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.19Guayaquil City FC xG
0.95Libertad xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.2 – 0.9 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertad 32%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
