Manta FC 35%Draw 25%Leones del Norte 41%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.06
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 2.64 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓41% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.94
Manta FC vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Manta FC v Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Jocay. In the table, Manta FC are 16th on 33 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manta FC, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Cuenca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Leones del Norte, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Aucas, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Manta FC.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Leones del Norte 3–0 Manta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manta FC 0.9 xG, Leones del Norte 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manta FC 35%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 41%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Leones del Norte to win @2.64 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manta FC 0–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manta FC35%fair 2.88 · @2.82
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.98
Leones del Norte41%fair 2.46 · @2.64
2.01Expected goals
0.95Manta FC xG
1.06Leones del Norte xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.9 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 41%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
Manta FC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
