Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAucas to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.72
Aucas vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Aucas v Libertad in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aucas, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to LDU de Quito, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Libertad, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Macara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Libertad, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Aucas.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Libertad 3–2 Aucas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.6 xG, Libertad 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 62%, draw 20%, Libertad 17%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aucas to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
Libertad17%fair 5.83 · @5.50
2.19Expected goals
1.56Aucas xG
0.63Libertad xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.6 – 0.6 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aucas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Aucas vs Libertad?
On our numbers Aucas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Libertad 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
