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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orense SC v Macara: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio 9 de Mayo
1–2
FT

Macara

LDDLW
Orense SC 39%Draw 25%Macara 36% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.20
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds
2

Value bet: Macara to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOrense SC to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30

Orense SC vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Orense SC v Macara in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio 9 de Mayo. In the table, Orense SC are 13th on 39 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orense SC, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Barcelona SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Macara, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Orense SC 0–1 Macara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.3 xG, Macara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 39%, draw 25%, Macara 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Macara to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orense SC39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Macara36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
2.46Expected goals
1.26Orense SC xG
1.20Macara xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Orense SC 1.3 – 1.2 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrense SC to win ✗39%2.562.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Draw no betOrense SC (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapMacara +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreOrense SC to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orense SC / FT Orense SC ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.30–

Recent results

Orense SC – last 6

LWDLLW
23 Aug@ Barcelona SC0–3L
16 Augvs Deportivo Cuenca2–0W
9 Aug@ Delfin SC1–1D
1 Aug@ Libertad0–3L
26 Julvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
23 Julvs Aucas2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Macara – last 6

LDDLWW
25 Aug@ Libertad0–1L
20 Augvs Santos0–0D
18 Augvs Universidad Catolica1–1D
13 Aug@ Santos1–2L
9 Aug@ Barcelona SC2–1W
2 Augvs Guayaquil City FC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Orense SC v Macara0–1
Orense SC vs Macara head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Macara?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Orense SC vs Macara?

On our numbers Orense SC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Macara 36%.

How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Macara?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Macara?

Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Orense SC vs Macara?

Orense SC vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.