Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTecnico Universitario to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.25
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Liga Pro brings Tecnico Universitario against Deportivo Cuenca at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47.
Current form
Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Guayaquil City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mushuc Runa SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 1.1 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 39%, draw 25%, Deportivo Cuenca 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Cuenca to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tecnico Universitario39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Deportivo Cuenca36%fair 2.78 · @3.25
2.19Expected goals
1.13Tecnico Universitario xG
1.06Deportivo Cuenca xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.1 – 1.1 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tecnico Universitario to win✓
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Tecnico Universitario (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cuenca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Tecnico Universitario to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tecnico Universitario / FT Tecnico Universitario✓
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.25
–
Recent results
Tecnico Universitario – last 6
LLLLWL
22 Aug
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ Emelec
1–2
L
10 Aug
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Universidad Catolica
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
22 Jul
@ Independiente del Valle
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
DLLLWL
22 Aug
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Manta FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Macara
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Cuenca 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
