Leones del Norte 44%Draw 23%Orense SC 33%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.06
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓44% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Leones del Norte vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones del Norte welcome Orense SC to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra for a Liga Pro fixture on Thursday 3 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Emelec, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Orense SC, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macara, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Orense SC 2–0 Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.3 xG, Orense SC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 44%, draw 23%, Orense SC 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Orense SC to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–1 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte44%fair 2.25 · @2.14
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Orense SC33%fair 3.07 · @3.45
2.36Expected goals
1.30Leones del Norte xG
1.06Orense SC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.3 – 1.1 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orense SC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–1 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
Leones del Norte vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
