Universidad Catolica 58%Draw 22%Aucas 20%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick
Universidad Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗58% · @1.84
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Universidad Catolica v Aucas in the Liga Pro. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Universidad Catolica, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Aucas, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.7 xG, Aucas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 58%, draw 22%, Aucas 20%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universidad Catolica or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica58%fair 1.74 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Aucas20%fair 4.96 · @4.10
2.52Expected goals
1.66Universidad Catolica xG
0.85Aucas xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
58%
1.74
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Aucas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Universidad Catolica – last 6
DWDLLW
29 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Manta FC
5–1
W
18 Aug
@ Macara
1–1
D
10 Aug
@ Libertad
1–2
L
5 Aug
vs Cuniburo
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Tecnico Universitario
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 6
WLWLDW
30 Aug
vs Libertad
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Delfin SC
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs LDU de Quito
0–1
L
12 Aug
@ La Unión
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Leones del Norte
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Aucas.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aucas 20%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.