Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universidad Catolica v Aucas: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador
1–1
FT

Aucas

WLWLD
Universidad Catolica 58%Draw 22%Aucas 20% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick

Universidad Catolica or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗58% · @1.84
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Universidad Catolica vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Universidad Catolica v Aucas in the Liga Pro. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Universidad Catolica, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Aucas, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.7 xG, Aucas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 58%, draw 22%, Aucas 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Universidad Catolica or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica58%fair 1.74 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Aucas20%fair 4.96 · @4.10
2.52Expected goals
1.66Universidad Catolica xG
0.85Aucas xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗58%1.741.84 ▲
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.73
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapAucas +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 6

DWDLLW
29 Aug@ Independiente del Valle2–2D
22 Augvs Manta FC5–1W
18 Aug@ Macara1–1D
10 Aug@ Libertad1–2L
5 Augvs Cuniburo2–3L
1 Augvs Tecnico Universitario5–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aucas – last 6

WLWLDW
30 Augvs Libertad1–0W
26 Aug@ LDU de Quito0–1L
23 Aug@ Delfin SC1–0W
17 Augvs LDU de Quito0–1L
12 Aug@ La Unión1–1D
8 Augvs Leones del Norte3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Aucas.

Universidad Catolica vs Aucas head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?

Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aucas 20%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?

Universidad Catolica vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.