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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aucas v Barcelona SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas

DWLWL
1–1
FT
Aucas 61%Draw 25%Barcelona SC 14% Expected goals 1.46 – 0.54
61%
Betarazi pick

Aucas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultAucas to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.84

Aucas vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barcelona SC travel to face Aucas on Monday 7 September in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49.

Current form

Aucas, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Universidad Catolica, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Barcelona SC, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Barcelona SC 3–0 Aucas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.5 xG, Barcelona SC 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 61%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aucas or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aucas to win (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aucas61%fair 1.65 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Barcelona SC14%fair 7.05 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.46Aucas xG
0.54Barcelona SC xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Aucas 1.5 – 0.5 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAucas to win ✗61%1.651.65
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓86%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.95
Draw no betAucas (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapBarcelona SC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreAucas to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aucas / FT Aucas ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.84–

Recent results

Aucas – last 6

DWLWLD
3 Sep@ Universidad Catolica1–1D
30 Augvs Libertad1–0W
26 Aug@ LDU de Quito0–1L
23 Aug@ Delfin SC1–0W
17 Augvs LDU de Quito0–1L
12 Aug@ La Unión1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 6

WLWDLW
3 Sepvs Independiente del Valle2–1W
30 Aug@ Manta FC0–2L
23 Augvs Orense SC3–0W
16 Aug@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
9 Augvs Macara1–2L
6 Aug@ LDU Portoviejo1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Barcelona SC v Aucas3–0
Aucas vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Aucas to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers Aucas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barcelona SC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

Aucas vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.