Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad travel to face Deportivo Cuenca on Monday 7 September in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guayaquil City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Libertad, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Emelec, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Cuenca.
Head to head
When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Libertad 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo Cuenca 2 wins, Libertad 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.6 xG, Libertad 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 64%, draw 21%, Libertad 15%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Cuenca to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Libertad15%fair 6.77 · @4.33
2.14Expected goals
1.58Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.56Libertad xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.6 – 0.6 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libertad 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
