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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Emelec v Manta FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio George Capwell

Emelec

DWLWD
1–0
FT
Emelec 64%Draw 25%Manta FC 11% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.56
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultEmelec to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Emelec vs Manta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Emelec welcome Manta FC to Estadio George Capwell for a Liga Pro fixture on Tuesday 8 September (01:00 WAT). In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Manta FC are 16th with 33. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Emelec, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Libertad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Manta FC, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Macara, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Manta FC 0–0 Emelec.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.7 xG, Manta FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 64%, draw 25%, Manta FC 11%.
  • Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (89%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Manta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Emelec64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.70
Manta FC11%fair 9.13 · @5.50
2.26Expected goals
1.70Emelec xG
0.56Manta FC xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Emelec 1.7 – 0.6 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmelec to win ✓64%1.551.62
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓89%1.121.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.00
Draw no betEmelec (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapEmelec -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreEmelec to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultEmelec ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Emelec / FT Emelec ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

Emelec – last 6

DWLWDL
4 Sep@ Libertad1–1D
31 Augvs Leones del Norte2–1W
24 Aug@ LDU de Quito0–2L
16 Augvs Tecnico Universitario2–1W
10 Aug@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
2 Augvs Aucas0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Manta FC – last 6

LWLLWL
2 Sep@ Macara3–4L
30 Augvs Barcelona SC2–0W
22 Aug@ Universidad Catolica1–5L
15 Augvs Leones del Norte0–2L
11 Aug@ Deportivo Cuenca2–1W
1 Augvs Mushuc Runa SC1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Manta FC v Emelec0–0
Emelec vs Manta FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Manta FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Emelec vs Manta FC?

On our numbers Emelec have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manta FC 11%.

How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Manta FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Manta FC?

Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Emelec vs Manta FC?

Emelec vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.