Mushuc Runa SC 41%Draw 23%Leones del Norte 36%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Mushuc Runa SC v Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Bellavista. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.
Current form
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with LDU de Quito, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Leones del Norte, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orense SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mushuc Runa SC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Leones del Norte.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Leones del Norte 3–1 Mushuc Runa SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.2 xG, Leones del Norte 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 41%, draw 23%, Leones del Norte 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Leones del Norte to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC41%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Leones del Norte36%fair 2.80 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.23Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.11Leones del Norte xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.2 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leones del Norte 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
