Leones del Norte 57%Draw 23%Tecnico Universitario 20%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.74
80%
Betarazi pick
Leones del Norte or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Leones del Norte v Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mushuc Runa SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to LDU de Quito, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Tecnico Universitario.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Tecnico Universitario 2–1 Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.5 xG, Tecnico Universitario 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 57%, draw 23%, Tecnico Universitario 20%.
Lower-risk option: Leones del Norte or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Leones del Norte to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leones del Norte or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.00
Tecnico Universitario20%fair 5.02 · @4.00
2.26Expected goals
1.52Leones del Norte xG
0.74Tecnico Universitario xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.5 – 0.7 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Leones del Norte or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tecnico Universitario 20%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
