Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Macara to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Macara vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Macara v Emelec in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Bellavista. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Emelec, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manta FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Emelec, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Macara.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Emelec 2–0 Macara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.5 xG, Emelec 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 55%, draw 25%, Emelec 20%.
Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Macara or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Emelec20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
2.26Expected goals
1.49Macara xG
0.77Emelec xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Macara 1.5 – 0.8 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Macara or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macara vs Emelec?
On our numbers Macara have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Emelec 20%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Emelec?
Macara vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
