Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 5 March: Tartu Welco v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A, played at Holm Jalgpallipark. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 2.6 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.6 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 50%, draw 17%, Tallinna Kalev 33%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco50%fair 2.01 · @2.10
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.50
Tallinna Kalev33%fair 3.05 · @2.40
4.20Expected goals
2.55Tartu Welco xG
1.64Tallinna Kalev xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.6 – 1.6 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
50%
2.01
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Draw no bet
Tartu Welco (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Tallinna Kalev +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
First team to score
Tartu Welco to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.41
–
Recent results
Tartu Welco
No recent results on record.
Tallinna Kalev
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tartu Welco and Tallinna Kalev.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tallinna Kalev 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
