Maardu 29%Draw 22%Elva 48%Expected goals 1.46 – 1.72
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultElva to win ✓48% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Maardu vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elva travel to face Maardu on Thursday 12 March in the Esiliiga A – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55.
Current form
Maardu, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Nõmme United II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 1.5 xG, Elva 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 29%, draw 22%, Elva 48%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 1–1 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu29%fair 3.40 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.00
Elva48%fair 2.07 · @1.73
3.18Expected goals
1.46Maardu xG
1.72Elva xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Maardu 1.5 – 1.7 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✓
48%
2.07
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Draw no bet
Elva (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Maardu +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Elva to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Maardu – last 3
LWD
8 Mar
@ Nõmme United II
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Flora II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Elva
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maardu and Elva.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Maardu vs Elva?
On our numbers Maardu have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elva 48%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Elva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Elva?
Maardu vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
