Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlora II to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 19 March: Flora II v Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A, played at Sportland Arena. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 2.5 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 64%, draw 17%, Nõmme Kalju II 20%.
Price worth noting: Flora II to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flora II64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @4.20
Nõmme Kalju II20%fair 5.10 · @3.20
3.56Expected goals
2.50Flora II xG
1.06Nõmme Kalju II xG
51%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Flora II 2.5 – 1.1 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flora II to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Flora II (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Flora II -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Flora II to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Flora II ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flora II / FT Flora II✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Flora II – last 2
LD
6 Mar
@ Viimsi
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Maardu
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nõmme Kalju II
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flora II and Nõmme Kalju II.
What is the prediction for Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Flora II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nõmme Kalju II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
