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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tallinna Kalev v Elva: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Kadrioru Staadion
2–1
FT

Elva

WWW
Tallinna Kalev 39%Draw 23%Elva 38% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.49
61%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.61

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 9 April the Esiliiga A brings Tallinna Kalev against Elva at Kadrioru Staadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maardu, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

Elva, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Viimsi, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Elva, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Tallinna Kalev.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 1.6 xG, Elva 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 39%, draw 23%, Elva 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tallinna Kalev39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.80
Elva38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
3.05Expected goals
1.57Tallinna Kalev xG
1.49Elva xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.6 – 1.5 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTallinna Kalev to win ✓39%2.552.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.30–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betTallinna Kalev (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapElva +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreTallinna Kalev to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.61–

Recent results

Tallinna Kalev – last 5

DLWLL
3 Apr@ Maardu1–1D
19 Mar@ Viimsi0–2L
15 Marvs FC Tallinn5–1W
11 Mar@ Paide0–6L
5 Mar@ Tartu Welco0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Elva – last 3

WWW
3 Aprvs Viimsi1–0W
21 Marvs FCI Levadia II3–2W
12 Mar@ Maardu3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tallinna Kalev and Elva.

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elva 38%.

How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.