Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme Kalju II welcome Tartu Welco to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 11 April (10:30 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 56 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nõmme United II, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.0 xG, Tartu Welco 3.2 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 9%, draw 14%, Tartu Welco 76%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tartu Welco to win (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–3 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II9%fair 10.75 · @7.50
Draw14%fair 6.93 · @4.90
Tartu Welco76%fair 1.31 · @1.25
4.19Expected goals
1.01Nõmme Kalju II xG
3.18Tartu Welco xG
61%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
0–38%
1–28%
0–28%
1–47%
0–46%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.0 – 3.2 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Double chance
Tartu Welco or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Draw no bet
Tartu Welco (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Tartu Welco -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.82
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.26
First team to score
Tartu Welco to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Nõmme Kalju II – last 2
LL
4 Apr
@ FC Tallinn
3–6
L
19 Mar
@ Flora II
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tartu Welco – last 3
WLW
3 Apr
@ Nõmme United II
3–1
W
10 Mar
@ Vaprus
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme Kalju II and Tartu Welco.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Tartu Welco 76%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–3 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
