Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Elva vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elva welcome Nõmme United II to Nike Arena for a Esiliiga A fixture on Sunday 19 April (10:30 WAT). In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Elva, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tallinna Kalev, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Nõmme United II, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Viimsi, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 1.9 xG, Nõmme United II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 54%, draw 20%, Nõmme United II 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 1–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva54%fair 1.84 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
Nõmme United II25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
3.13Expected goals
1.91Elva xG
1.22Nõmme United II xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Elva 1.9 – 1.2 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Elva (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Nõmme United II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Elva to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Elva ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Elva – last 4
LWWW
9 Apr
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Viimsi
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ Maardu
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Nõmme United II – last 5
WLWWW
12 Apr
@ Viimsi
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4–3
W
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elva and Nõmme United II.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Elva vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Elva have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United II 25%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Elva vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
